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Weekly: Integral Systems price 10.6% above volume weighted price



News Bites US Markets
February 19, 2011

Integral Systems (ISYS.O), NASDAQ's 10th largest Computer Integrated Systems company by market capitalisation, weakened 28.0c (or 2.2%) to US$12.30 in the week ending Friday February 18. The price is at a premium of 10.6% to the 3-month volume weighted average price of US$11.124. Given that this premium has exceeded 10.6% twenty-one times and been under 10.6% nineteen times in the last year, the upside:downside probability is estimated at 21:19 or 1.1:1. The stock fell for a second week on Friday. Compared with the NASDAQ-100 index which rose 13.3 points (or 0.6%) in the week, this represented a relative price change of -2.8%.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

Downtrend

Relativities: in the NASDAQ market the stock has a trailing week relative strength of 20.6 indicating it is trailing 79.4% of the market.

Support: the support price is hovering at the US$11.75 level. Volume traded at the fragile support price zone was 0.3 times average during the nine occasions when the support price was breached. In the last one month the first low was at US$11.75 on Jan 20, the second at US$11.76 on Jan 21. The third decline halted at US$11.77 on Jan 27, the 4th at US$11.85 on Jan 28, the 5th at US$11.88 on Jan 25, the 6th at US$11.89 on Jan 19, the 7th at US$11.90 on Jan 26, the 8th at US$11.91 on Feb 09 and the 9th at US$11.95 on Jan 31

Resistance: resistance is apparent at US$13.40. However, selling pressure at that level has been weak; volume was 0.4 times average during the single occasion when the resistance price was breached in the last one month. In the last one month the high was at US$13.40 on Feb 04.

PRICE VOLUME DYNAMICS

Volatility: the stock traded between an intraweek low of US$12.11 and a high of US$12.64.

Moving average price (MAP): the price to 200-day MAP ratio is 1.44, a bullish indicator. In the past 200 days this ratio has exceeded 1.44 twenty-two times suggesting further upside. The stock is trading above both its MAPs and the 50-day MAP of US$11.309 is higher than the 200-day MAP of US$8.522, a bullish indicator. The 200-day MAP has increased to US$8.522. An increase is another bullish indicator.

Exponential Moving Average Price (EMAP) [with higher weightage to recent prices]: the price to 50-day EMAP ratio is 1.1, a bullish indicator. In the past 50 days this ratio has exceeded 1.1 40 times suggesting further upside. The 50-day EMAP has increased to US$11.413. An increase is another bullish indicator.

Relativities: in the NASDAQ market of 2,388 stocks traded today, the stock has a 6-month relative strength of 87 which means it is beating 87% of the market.

Volume and turnover period: there were 566,246 shares worth US$6.9 million traded. The volume was 1.03 times average trading of 548,226 shares. The turnover rate in the 12 months to date was 152.7% (or a turnover period of 7 months).

% Discount to high: the last price is at a discount of 8.2% to the 12-month high of US$13.40 fourteen-days ago on 04 Feb, 2011.

Falls to Rises: In the last six months the number of rises outnumbered falls 16:10 or 1.6:1.

THIS WEEK'S PRICE PERFORMANCE RANK IN SECTORS

The stock is in 2 sectors.

The stock's fall of 2.2% for the week was in keeping with the trend set by the Computer Integrated Systems sector (rank 15;9 out of 21) which was down 6.9 points or 0.3% to 2,322.7

The stock's fall went against the trend set by the following index and sector (rank by percentage price change of stock for 1 week;12 months in sector/index in brackets):

Total NASDAQ Market (rank 1738;825 out of 2521) which was up 17.4 points or 0.9% to 1,993.0,

NASDAQ-100 index which was up 13.3 points or 0.6% to 2,392.

The Computer Integrated Systems company sector is the 48th largest by market capitalisation out of NASDAQ's 69 sectors. It is made up of 21 publicly listed companies with a combined market capitalisation of US$10 billion. In 2010 earnings for the sector grew 5.9% compared with those of 2009. The main players in the sector include MICROS Systems, Mentor Graphics, Radiant Systems and FARO Technologies.

SHAREHOLDER RETURNS

Trailing five weeks: the stock rose thirteen times (52% of the time), fell ten times (40% of the time), was unchanged once (4% of the time) and was untraded once (4% of the time). The volume was 1.5 times average trading of 2,741,131 shares. The value of US$1,000 invested five weeks ago is US$1,012 [vs US$1,031 for the NASDAQ-100 index] for a capital gain of US$12.

Trailing thirteen weeks: the stock rose forty times (62% of the time), fell twenty two times (34% of the time), was unchanged twice (3% of the time) and was untraded once (2% of the time). The volume was 1.4 times average trading of 7,126,941 shares. The value of US$1,000 invested thirteen weeks ago is US$1,255 [vs US$1,122 for the NASDAQ-100 index] for a capital gain of US$255.

Trailing Two Years: the value of US$1,000 invested two years ago is US$1,200 [vs US$2,024 for the NASDAQ-100 index] for a capital gain of US$200.

FINANCIALS

Quarterly Report:

In the quarter to December 31, 2010 total revenue of US$44.5 million; net loss of US$3.9 million.

MARKET SHARE

Integral Systems vs Computer Integrated Systems sector [Computer Integrated Systems sector Total in Brackets]

MCap of US$221.5 million[2.2% of Aggregate Sector MCap of US$10 billion; down from 2.4% in the previous year.]

FUNDAMENTALS

P/S: The price/sales ratio is 1.2.

ISSUED CAPITAL

Based on 18,008,000 issued shares the market capitalisation is US$221.5 million.

ACTIVITIES

Integral Systems, Inc. provides solutions for satellite command and control, integration and test, data processing, signals analysis, and flight simulation. The Company designs, develops, and integrates solutions, and provide services related to satellite ground systems and other communications and networking equipment. It operates in three segments: Government Systems, Commercial Systems and Space Communications Systems. Government Systems provides ground systems products and services to the United States Federal Government. Commercial Systems provides ground systems products and services to commercial enterprises and international organizations. The segment consists of three wholly owned subsidiaries, SAT Corporation (SAT), Newpoint Technologies, Inc. (Newpoint), and Integral Systems Europe S.A.S. (ISI Europe). Space Communications Systems includes its wholly owned subsidiary, Real Time Logic, Inc. (RT Logic) and Lumistar, Inc. (Lumistar), a wholly owned subsidiary of RT Logic.

REPORTED BUYING

Reported Buying:

October 13: Integral Systems insider buys

Integral Systems (ISYS.O) insider Kahn Brian Randall bought 5,000 shares worth approximately US$39,000 on October 08, 2010. The last price was US$7.80.

October 13: Integral Systems insider buys

Integral Systems (ISYS.O) insider Keating Melvin L bought 5,000 shares worth approximately US$39,000 on October 08, 2010. The last price was US$7.80.

BUSINESS NEWS ROUND UP

The last 5 snippets were:

February 15: Integral Systems' Wholly-Owned Subsidiary, RT Logic, Reports Strong Channel Simulator Sales and Interest

[News Story] COLORADO SPRINGS, Colo. and COLUMBIA, Md., Feb. 15, 2011 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Integral Systems, Inc., (Nasdaq:ISYS) announced today that its wholly-owned subsidiary, RT Logic, booked a record number of sales in the Company's recently closed first quarter for its industry-leading Telemetrix(Registered) 400 Channel Simulator (T400CS).

January 31: U.S. Air Force Awards Integral Systems $13.7 Million CCS-C Contract Modification

[News Story] COLORADO SPRINGS, Colo. and COLUMBIA, Md., Jan. 31, 2011 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Integral Systems, Inc. (Nasdaq:ISYS) announced today that the U.S. Air Force (USAF) Space and Miss. le Systems Center (SMC) has awarded the Company a $13.7 million contract modification to its Command and Control System-Consolidated (CCS-C) contract.

January 19: Integral Systems SATCOM Solutions Division General Manager to Discuss Naval Maritime Satellite Communications Requirements at the 2011 Naval and Maritime SATCOM Workshop

[News Story] CHANTILLY, Va. and COLUMBIA, Md., Jan. 19, 2011 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Integral Systems, Inc. (Nasdaq:ISYS) announced today that Steve Gizinski, General Manager of Integral Systems' SATCOM Solutions division, will take part in a panel discussion at the 2011 Naval and Maritime SATCOM Workshop.

January 18: Integral Systems Introduces Ultra-Compact and Efficient 100 Watt Ku-Band Solid State Power Amplifier

[News Story] CHANTILLY, Va. and COLUMBIA, Md., Jan. 18, 2011 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Integral Systems, Inc., (Nasdaq:ISYS) announced today the availability of its ultra-compact and efficient 100 Watt Ku-band Solid State Power Amplifier (SSPA). The new 100 Watt SSPA, offered through Integral Systems' SATCOM Solutions division, is a major leap forward in terms of size, weight, power efficiency and cost.

January 13: Integral Systems Retains Financial Advisor

[News Story] COLUMBIA, Md., Jan. 13, 2011 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Integral Systems, Inc., (Nasdaq:ISYS) ("Company") announced today that the Company is considering strategic alternatives to enhance shareholder value, including acquisitions, mergers, sale of the Company or other transactions.

Source: www. BuySellSignals. com

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